This year's largest power gap exceeds 30 million kilowatt hours

A report released by the China Electricity Council shows that this year's electricity growth rate will fall from 8.7% to 10.5% last year, but the maximum power shortage is expected to reach 30 million to 40 million kwh.

According to the analysis of the report of the CEC, it is highly probable that there will be a relatively low incidence of hydropower before the flood season in 2012, and the regional and time-consuming contradictions of electric coal are still prominent, and the external environment for supply is still severe. Based on the comprehensive balance analysis, it is expected that the nation's electricity supply and demand will remain generally tight in 2012, and some parts of the country will still face severe power shortages during certain periods.

This report predicts that the general tone of the country's steady progress in 2012 and more effective macro-control will ensure that the economy will maintain stable and rapid development, and the economic and electric power growth rate will fall back. It is expected that the growth rate of electricity consumption in the entire society will increase. Between 8.5% and 10.5%, the annual electricity consumption is 5.14 trillion kilowatt-hours, which may show a low and high distribution. The report's forecasted growth rate for this year's power growth is 9.5 percent year-on-year, which is higher than the 8.5% forecast made by the Electricity Regulatory Commission in early January.

“In 2012, the national coal consumption will increase by about 150 million tons from the previous year, and the corresponding increase in domestic supply of more than 300 million tons of coal will be needed to better protect the coal needs.” The report of the CEC suggested that coal be released as soon as possible. Capacity, timely start coal-fired linkage, as soon as possible to rationalize the formation mechanism of electricity prices, improve thermal power production and business environment. It is recommended to accelerate the promotion of electricity prices and other market-oriented means to regulate the balance between electricity supply and demand, introduce and implement measures such as differential electricity prices, punitive electricity prices, and peak-to-valley electricity prices. At the same time, we should appropriately limit exports of high energy-consuming products and pay close attention to the large-scale development of new energy to supply and demand electricity. The effect of balance.

In addition, in accordance with the principle of giving priority to the development of hydropower and safe and efficient development of nuclear power, accelerate the review and approval of hydropower basins and power stations, and accelerate the preparation and approval of nuclear power safety planning, and restore and appropriately speed up the approval of nuclear power projects under the precondition of ensuring safety. .

According to CEC’s statistics, in 2011, the country’s total electricity consumption was 4.69 trillion kWh, an increase of 11.7% over the previous year. In 2011, the secondary industry and its industrial electricity consumption increased by 11.9% and 11.8% respectively, accounting for the entire society. The proportion of electricity consumption is 75.0% and 73.8%, respectively, and it is still the decisive factor for pulling up electricity consumption.