2017 points situation is released, it must be returned!

On April 9, the official website of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology publicized the “2017 average annual fuel consumption of passenger vehicle companies and new energy vehicle points”. From the perspective of average fuel consumption and new energy vehicle points, 99 domestic companies in 2017 were Among the car manufacturers and 29 import passenger car suppliers, 39 car companies have negative points for fuel consumption, with a score of 1,487,229 points. A total of 55 car companies have generated 1,690,447 points for new energy vehicles.

Double integral situation is released! Severe polarization

The analysis concludes that although the number of companies that have obtained positive credits is more than the number of car companies that have negative credits in terms of quantity, it can be seen from the overall situation of the company that the positive and negative conditions of 2017 points show serious bipolarity. Differentiation!

In the new energy vehicle's positive points, BYD generated the most new energy car points, up to 1,125,998 points, followed by Beijing Automotive New Energy, SAIC, Geely Automobile and other new energy vehicles generated more than 100,000 points. The number of new energy vehicles for 44 auto companies such as Baowo Auto, Beijing Benz, Beijing Automotive, Daqing Volvo, Dongfeng Honda, Dongfeng Renault, Dongfeng Motor, Fujian Benz, Guanzhi Auto and Zhongtai Automobile was zero.

According to the 2016 average annual fuel consumption and new energy vehicle scores of China's passenger vehicle companies announced in 2016, a total of 24,419,700 passenger cars were produced/imported by 124 passenger car companies in China in 2016 (including new energy passenger vehicles. ,Excluding export passenger cars, the same below), the industry's average total vehicle conditioning quality is 1410 kg, the average fuel consumption actual value is 6.43 liters/100 km, the fuel consumption is a positive integral of 11748.86 million, and the fuel consumption negative integration is 14.99 million points, new energy vehicles are integral to 98.95 million points. Although the number of new energy passenger cars in China in 2017 is almost doubled on the basis of 2016, the serious polarization between traditional car companies and new energy car companies continues.

It is not difficult to see that enterprises that meet the standards are more active companies in the field of new energy vehicles. Most of them have entered the new energy vehicle market earlier, or they have only used new energy vehicles. The enterprises that failed to meet the standard analysis were mostly traditional fuel vehicle enterprises. There were certain congenitally deficient models on the structure of the vehicle. The large amount of fuel consumption also led to aggravated delinquency of negative integrals, which was more like rolling snowballs. The impact of the double-integration policy has already begun. In the face of a serious shortage of new energy points, the change of road to new energy has become the traditional road salvation.

Fuel consumption is not up to standard? Dual-pointing policy how to settle with you!

At the end of 2016, China’s car ownership reached nearly 200 million vehicles, of which the consumption of gasoline and diesel for vehicles accounted for more than 70% of gasoline and diesel consumption in the country. In order to ease the pressure on the environment, the relevant authorities of the country have established corresponding management. Measures to promote the healthy development of the new energy automotive market. The method of concurrent management of the average fuel consumption of passenger vehicles and new energy vehicles (hereinafter referred to as “measures”) has also emerged. On September 28, 2017, the five departments jointly announced the "Measures," which established a point accounting system and a management platform, and defined the thresholds for the integration of accounting methods and requirements for points. On April 1, the "Measures" officially began to implement. So, how is the integral and parallel management approach calculated? From the points announced in 2016 and 2017, what else can we see?

1. The maximum speed of a 30-minute ride on a pure electric passenger car is not less than 100km/h, and the driving range of an electric vehicle (working mode law) is not less than 100km, and is different depending on the quality of trim (m, kg), pure electric passenger car Under conditions of work conditions, the power consumption per hundred kilometers (Y, kW?h/100km) meets condition 1, but if condition 2 is not satisfied, vehicle model integral is calculated according to 1 times the standard model integral; if condition 2 is satisfied, it is calculated according to 1.2 times. The rest of the models are calculated at 0.5 times, and the points are only used by the company.

Condition 1: When m≤1000, Y≤0.014×m+0.5; 1000, Y≤0.012×m+2.5; when m>1600, Y≤0.005×m+13.7. ≤1600 hours

≤1600 hours

Condition 2: when m≤1000, Y≤0.0098×m+0.35; 1000, Y≤0.0084×m+1.75; when m>1600, Y≤0.0035×m+9.59. ≤1600 hours

2. The continuous driving range of the plug-in hybrid vehicle's pure electric driving mode is not less than 50km. The condition of B test fuel consumption (fuel consumption without electrical energy conversion) and the “fuel consumption limit of passenger vehicles” (GB19578) for a plug-in hybrid passenger vehicle model with a continuous driving range of less than 80km The fuel consumption limit corresponding to the vehicle type in 2014-2014 shall be less than 70%; if the ratio is not less than 70%, vehicle model points shall be calculated according to 0.5 times the standard vehicle model points, and the points shall be used only by the enterprise. In the model of plug-in hybrid passenger car with a continuous driving range of more than 80 kilometers, the electric energy consumption of the condition A test should meet the requirements of condition 1 of the pure electric passenger car; if not, the model points are in accordance with the standard models. 0.5 times of points is calculated, and the points are only used by the company.

3. The mileage of the fuel cell passenger car is not less than 300km, and the rated power of the fuel cell system is not less than 30% of the rated power of the drive motor, and if it is not less than 10kW, the vehicle model points shall be calculated according to 1 times of the standard model integral. The remaining models are calculated based on 0.5 times the standard model points, and the points are only used by the company. (Note: When calculating the actual value of new energy vehicle points for passenger car companies, if there are multiple models of new energy passenger car models for the same model in the accounting year, they will be calculated separately according to different points.)

≤1600 hours

From the double-integration calculation method, the policy puts forward certain requirements for fuel consumption and new energy sources. The policy requires that fuel points and new energy points be no less than 0, and companies that have negative points will have to take measures to offset negative points. There are three methods that can be solved at present: points carry forward, affiliate transfer, and market point transactions. Under such circumstances, in the face of negative integration, traditional fuel vehicle manufacturers need to purchase new energy points to offset or use their own company's new energy excess points. The demand for new energy points will promote the long-term energy of new energy vehicles. development of.

Joint venture import is the most dangerous! Self-supporting half the sky

According to the 2017 Annual Average of Fuel Consumption of Passenger Vehicles and New Energy Vehicle Integration, in 2017, the number of self-owned brand new energy car companies in China’s national new energy auto companies almost reached half the fuel consumption standard, and many joint ventures Imported companies are in danger.

The direct beneficiaries of the double-integration policy are the domestic well-developed brand new energy car enterprises. After experiencing the impact of new energy subsidies, the new energy car companies are likely to benefit from the sale of new energy surplus points. At present, it can be seen from the 2017 points that domestic companies such as BYD, Geely, and BAIC that have a relatively rapid development of new energy vehicles may have a large surplus of new energy points in the future, while traditional fuel vehicles account for relatively large FAW, Dongfeng, Guangzhou Automobile, etc. Great Wall, Changan and other car companies will face the situation of new energy may be more negative points. In particular, the production of SUV car prices, due to China's consumer demand for SUV in recent years, but the SUV model's fuel consumption is very high, the current policy is very unfavorable to its impact. However, now SAIC, Great Wall and other car companies have begun to open up pure electric SUV market.

The biggest pressure is the joint venture brand. In order to respond positively to the double-integration policy, a major breakthrough in technology cannot be achieved in the short term. At present, many auto companies are adopting methods to find joint venture partners. Since the second half of 2017, Volkswagen, JAC, Great Wall and Yu Jie, Ford and Zhongtai, Dongfeng Companies such as Renault-Nissan have announced joint ventures for new energy vehicles. A wave of new energy joint ventures is blowing in the new energy automobile market in China... In this wave of new energy joint ventures, some car companies have achieved certain results, such as the joint establishment of a new energy joint venture between the public and JAC. Daimler will increase its shareholding in BAIC New Energy, Daimler and Geely.

Cui Dongshu, secretary-general of the CLUCC National Committee, believes that the pressure on overall fuel consumption standards has increased dramatically in 2017. Among the 128 companies, 75 companies have completed standards, accounting for 59% of the total. Among them, the performance of autonomous car companies is relatively good. Japanese brands of imported cars and some brands of the US Department are not optimistic! In the future, joint ventures and imported brand car companies will inevitably increase their investment in new energy vehicles under the pressure of double-integration policies.

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